20 Cryptocurrency Market Truths People Are Unwilling to Believe Today
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20 Cryptocurrency Market Truths People Are Unwilling to Believe Today
A comprehensive altcoin season may never return, and Trump is not the "hope drug" for the crypto market.
Navigating Web3 tides with focused insightsAuthor: AlΞx Wacy
Translation: TechFlow
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Bitcoin cannot replace gold. Gold has a market cap of about $19 trillion—under even the most optimistic scenarios, Bitcoin ($BTC) falls far short. Digital gold? Yes. Real gold? Forget it.
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Liquidity is drying up. Spot ETFs have attracted institutional capital, but retail liquidity is vanishing. Market hype alone isn't enough to sustain the next phase of growth.
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Mass adoption hasn’t started yet. Despite frequent media coverage, real-world applications remain limited. Crypto is still primarily a playground for speculators, not an everyday financial tool.
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The dream of decentralization is dead. The vision of fully decentralized cryptocurrency is fading. Today, centralized exchanges, regulators, and large capital players dominate the landscape.
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Investment is exiting crypto. Despite unprecedented government support and growing legitimacy, venture funding for crypto projects has dropped below 2017–2018 levels.
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Solana will surpass Ethereum. Solana ($SOL) is faster, cheaper, and rapidly growing in NFTs, DeFi, and meme coins. Meanwhile, Ethereum ($ETH) struggles with high fees and internal disarray. It's not a matter of if, but when Solana overtakes it.
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NFTs are dead. The PFP (profile picture NFT) craze is over. Without practical use cases, NFTs won't recover—unless new utility emerges.
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Retail investors are the "greater fools". Smart money enters early and sells at the top to retail. Most people end up losing.
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If Solana lacks a new "spark," it may fail to reach new highs. Meme coins have been the biggest catalyst for $SOL. Without fresh momentum, market attention will fade.
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The next wave of AI agents is coming. While the first wave was just chatbots, more advanced AI agents are on the horizon—and they’ll transform how we interact with crypto.
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Market cycles and indicators no longer work. Traditional market cycles? Technical analysis (TA) patterns? Now, markets are driven more by liquidity games and macro events.
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The fuel for altseason is gone. Capital is no longer flooding into altcoins like before. Without fresh inflows, a broad "altseason" may never return.
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Bitcoin could drop to $40,000. Yes, such a deep correction is possible. Market structure and liquidity suggest a major pullback is brewing.
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Trump is not a "magic pill" for crypto. Markets performed better under Biden. Trump’s policies may favor institutions over retail.
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GameFi will see a revival. Web3 gaming is maturing. If GTA 6 integrates blockchain, it could revolutionize the gaming industry.
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SocialFi will be the next trend. Tokenized communities, engagement rewards, and content monetization are inevitable developments.
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Complex tech isn’t hot this cycle. Simpler projects win. AI, DePIN, and RWA are easy to grasp; modular blockchains are not.
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New listings on Binance no longer mean pumps. Most tokens newly listed on Binance eventually decline. The market's hype cycle has changed.
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A full-scale altseason may never return. Sure, some altcoins might 10x or even 100x—but a massive rally across all altcoins? Almost impossible.
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Crypto markets never behave as expected. If you think you’ve figured it out, the market will prove you wrong. Adapt or get left behind.
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