Bitget UEX Daily Report | Gold and Silver Rebound—Gold Returns to 5000; Nikkei Hits All-Time High; U.S. Tariffs on India Reduced to 18%
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Bitget UEX Daily Report | Gold and Silver Rebound—Gold Returns to 5000; Nikkei Hits All-Time High; U.S. Tariffs on India Reduced to 18%
Precious metals rebounded strongly, with gold and silver supported by a weakening U.S. dollar and easing geopolitical tensions—however, heightened volatility warrants caution.
Navigating Web3 tides with focused insightsAuthor: Bitget
I. Key Market News
Federal Reserve Updates
Bank of America’s Hartnett: Small-Caps Outperform Tech Stocks; Tech Giants No Longer the Winners
- Institutions note that 2025–2026 marks the end of “American exceptionalism” and the beginning of global rebalancing.
- Key takeaways: Winners are shifting toward international equities, Chinese consumer stocks, and emerging-market commodity producers; tech stocks’ dominance is waning.
- Market impact: May trigger capital outflows from mega-cap tech firms, driving market rotation toward value and small-cap stocks—and increasing overall volatility.
Goldman Sachs Analysis: Software Sector Faces Short-Term Valuation Pressure; Bear-Market Risks May Be Deferred, Not Eliminated
- Last week’s Anthropic update triggered a sharp selloff in software stocks; Goldman identifies two key controversies in the AI-SaaS space.
- Key takeaways: Traditional software companies’ competitiveness remains uncertain; future profits may accrue to highly efficient AI orchestration firms; investor sentiment may require 2–3 quarters to stabilize.
- Market impact: Software valuations remain under pressure; bearish risks may be delayed—not removed—so investors should prioritize fundamentals for risk mitigation.
International Commodities
Gold, Silver, and Copper Enter Consolidation Phase Over Next Few Weeks, JPMorgan: This Is Merely a Bull-Market Pause—Copper May Rally First in Q2
- The report states gold, silver, and copper have entered consolidation—but this does not signal the end of the bull market.
- Key takeaways: Spot gold reclaimed $5,000/oz, rising over 1.5% intraday; spot silver briefly breached $80/oz (+2.55%); copper fundamentals remain robust, supported by global manufacturing activity.
- Market impact: High probability of rebound after short-term correction—positive for commodity-linked assets—but global volatility poses upside risk.
PBOC Gold Reserves Rise for 15th Consecutive Month; January Net Addition: 40,000 Oz, Pace Slightly Accelerated
- As of end-January, gold reserves stood at 74.19 million oz; foreign exchange reserves totaled $3.3991 trillion, up 1.23% MoM.
- Key takeaways: 15-month consecutive net purchases; FX reserves rose $41.2 billion; reflects broader central bank allocation trends.
- Market impact: Reinforces gold’s demand floor, constrains downside price risk, and supports long-term upward momentum in precious metals.
Macroeconomic Policy
U.S.–India Interim Trade Framework Reached: Tariffs on Indian Goods Cut to 18%; India Pledges $500B U.S. Purchases Over Five Years
- Agreement covers Indian procurement of U.S. energy, aerospace, and AI chips, plus market access for industrial and agricultural goods.
- Key takeaways: U.S. eliminates 25% punitive tariffs but imposes 18% reciprocal duties; India commits to halting Russian oil imports, subject to U.S. oversight.
- Market impact: Eases trade tensions and facilitates global supply-chain reconfiguration—but geopolitical factors could introduce uncertainty, benefiting export-oriented equities.
Asia-Pacific Equities Surge Across the Board; Nikkei 225 Hits All-Time High
- Japanese and Korean markets opened sharply higher: Nikkei 225 surged over 5% to surpass 57,000 points; KOSPI gained over 4%.
- Key takeaways: LDP secured supermajority in Japan’s general election; Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix rose over 6%.
- Market impact: Political stability bolsters investor confidence and attracts regional capital inflows—but global risk transmission warrants monitoring.
II. Market Recap
Commodities & FX Performance
- Spot Gold: +1.07% — Rally continues; back above $5,000/oz
- Spot Silver: +2.45% — Briefly topped $80/oz; high volatility
- WTI Crude: −0.63% — Oversupply concerns and easing Iran-related geopolitical risks
- USD Index: −0.14% — Pressured by institutional rebalancing and de-escalating geopolitics
Cryptocurrency Performance
- BTC: +1.96% — Rebounded and stabilized mid-$70,000 range
- ETH: +0.07% — Mild recovery in line with broader market; lower volatility
- Total Crypto Market Cap: +0.7% — Driven by improved risk appetite
- Liquidations: $333M total — Dominated by $234M in short liquidations
U.S. Equity Indices Performance
- Dow Jones: +2.47% — Historic first close above 50,000 points; sustained rally
- S&P 500: +1.97% — Largest single-day gain since May 2023; holding key support level
- Nasdaq: +2.18% — Tech rebound drove gains; ended three-day selloff
Tech Giants’ Performance
- NVDA: +7.87%, leading the rebound
- AAPL: +0.8%, modest recovery
- GOOGL: −2.53%, pulled back under pressure
- MSFT: +1.9%, steady uptrend
- AMZN: −5.55%, sharp post-earnings decline
- META: −1.31%, minor correction
- TSLA: +3.5%, aligned with broad market recovery. Overall, tech giants showed divergent performance—mainly driven by rebound following prior selloffs. NVDA’s market cap surged over $320B, while AMZN and others were weighed down by capital expenditure concerns.
Sector Highlights
Semiconductor Sector: +6.47%
- Key names: TSMC +5.48%; Broadcom +7.22%
- Catalyst: Resurgence in AI demand and stable supply chains lifted chip stocks
Memory Chip Sector: Notable movement
- Key names: Micron +3.08%; Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix up over 6%
- Catalyst: Supplier-led new contract models shift market power in favor of memory giants
Crypto-Related Stocks: +17.64%
- Key names: MSTR +26.11%; BMNR +17.64%
- Catalyst: Bitcoin’s ~12% rebound lifted related holdings
III. In-Depth Stock Analysis
- Tesla — Multi-State Factory Expansion to Scale Solar Panel Production Event Summary: Tesla is evaluating multiple U.S. sites to expand solar panel manufacturing capacity to 100 GW annually within three years—including upgrading its Buffalo, NY facility to 10 GW and exploring new plants in New York, Arizona, and Idaho—to strengthen its renewable energy business. Market Interpretation: Analysts view this strategic expansion as boosting Tesla’s competitiveness in clean energy, though supply-chain execution and policy support remain critical. Investment Insight: Long-term tailwind for energy transition—but near-term capital-expenditure pressure warrants caution.
- Amazon — Heavy AI Investment Draws Scrutiny on Balance Sheet Event Summary: As the AI infrastructure race intensifies, Amazon, Google, and Meta face growing free-cash-flow strain. Total capex among the top four cloud providers is projected to hit $645B in 2026—up 56% YoY, with $230B in incremental spending. Market Interpretation: JPMorgan warns this could deplete cash flow; investors must closely monitor balance-sheet health in 2026. Investment Insight: AI growth potential remains immense—but managing leverage is essential to avoid overextension risk.
- Stellantis — EV Pivot Leads to €22.2B Impairment Charge Event Summary: European auto giant Stellantis announced a major restructuring, scaling back electric vehicle ambitions and booking a €22.2B impairment charge—causing its U.S. shares to plunge 23.69% Friday. Market Interpretation: Analysts cite stalled EV adoption, cost pressures, and softening demand as root causes. Investment Insight: Near-term share weakness expected; monitor restructuring progress to assess recovery potential.
- Anthropic — New Funding Round Could Double Valuation to $35B Event Summary: AI startup Anthropic has reached final stages of a massive funding round exceeding $20B, potentially lifting its valuation to $35B. Backers include Coatue, GIC, and Iconiq (each committing >$1B), alongside NVIDIA and Microsoft (up to $15B each). Market Interpretation: Investor demand far exceeds expectations—underscoring intense enthusiasm for AI ecosystem positioning; valuation nearly doubled since last round. Investment Insight: AI boom continues unabated; related supply chains stand to benefit significantly.
- Jinglin Asset Management — Q4 Shifts Portfolio: Trimmed NVDA, Added GOOGL, META, and PDD Event Summary: Jinglin’s 13F filing shows $4.045B in U.S.-listed holdings. In Q4, it cut 1.54M NVDA shares (over 60% of position), sold 229K META shares, and added 929K GOOGL Class A shares and 611K PDD shares. Market Interpretation: Reflects institutional portfolio diversification and reduced exposure to mega-cap tech. Investment Insight: Signals a broader market style shift—consider opportunities in emerging consumer equities.
IV. Cryptocurrency Project Updates
1. Bitcoin stabilizes mid-$70,000 range; total market cap rebounds to $2.6T.
2. Eugene: $60,000 may serve as Bitcoin’s key support; survival takes priority in bear markets—strict stop-loss discipline required.
3. Michael Saylor re-posts Bitcoin Tracker updates; weekly增持 data likely to be disclosed soon.
4. Data: CONX, AVAX, and APT face large token unlocks next week—CONX unlock valued at ~$15.6M.
5. Arthur Hayes bets HYPE will outperform all “shitcoins” with market caps over $1B over the next six months.
V. Today’s Market Calendar
Data Release Schedule
| 03:00 | Singapore | Foreign Exchange Reserves (Jan) | ⭐⭐⭐ |
| 05:00 | Mexico | CPI YoY (Jan) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| 10:50 | U.S. | Atlanta Fed President Bostic Speech | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| 13:30 | U.S. | Fed Governor Waller Speech | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
Upcoming Key Events
- Fed Officials’ Speeches: 10:50 AM — Monetary policy views
- Treasury Auctions: 10:30 AM — 13-week and 26-week bill auctions
Bitget Research View:
U.S. equities show widening divergence: The Dow’s record-breaking surge above 50,000 highlights resilience, while the Nasdaq’s near-1.9% weekly decline underscores mounting tech valuation pressure. Precious metals rallied strongly—gold and silver supported by a weaker dollar and easing geopolitical tensions—but volatility risks remain elevated. Crude oil fell 0.79% to $63 amid oversupply concerns and Iran negotiations—short-term pressure persists. In FX, the USD Index dropped 0.28%, driven by institutional rebalancing; volatility is expected to rise—monitor Fed signals and geopolitical developments closely.
Disclaimer: The above content was compiled via AI search and verified manually for publication only. It does not constitute investment advice.
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