Is now the best time to enter?
TechFlow Selected TechFlow Selected
Is now the best time to enter?
The current situation is almost perfect.
Navigating Web3 tides with focused insightsWritten by: Alertforalpha
Translated by: Baihua Blockchain
Crypto investing is 90% waiting, 10% fireworks. You have to endure long bear markets, tedious sideways consolidation, and soul-crushing false breakouts. But then... boom! Everything aligns. Liquidity surges, macro risks fade, and the charts ignite again just like in 2021.
We may be entering that rare 6-12 month golden window. Those who positioned early could make life-changing gains. You don't want to fall asleep at this moment.
Let's analyze why now might be a critical juncture.
The charts flash green—strong momentum
First, look at the weekly MACD. Bitcoin and Ethereum have just confirmed bullish crossovers. Not daily—weekly! This is a trend trader’s dream. Add these to the mix:
Ethereum breaks above its 200-day moving average;
Relative Strength Index (RSI) turns bullish (remember, in a real bull market, RSI can stay overbought for months);
Bitcoin firmly holds above the weekly Supertrend line;
Ethereum lags slightly but is catching up;
In short, technical analysis shows broad market strength. These aren’t weak signals—they’re multiple confirmations often seen before historic rallies.
M2 money supply is expanding again
Here’s your cheat code: Bitcoin price has an 83% correlation with global M2 money supply.
When M2 (i.e., global liquidity) expands, Bitcoin soars. It’s not absolute science, but over time, the pattern holds. Now, M2 is rising rapidly.
The tide is lifting, and Bitcoin tends to float with it. And when Bitcoin rises, the entire market takes off.
Macro environment: from chaos to calm
April was brutal. Trade tariffs, bond market turmoil, global tensions, recession fears. Every pessimist had their stage.
But now? Peace talks, trade deals, cooling inflation, positive GDP forecasts (the Atlanta Fed even projects 2.4% growth). The market has largely priced in macro chaos and is looking ahead.
All of this sets the stage for:
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Stronger economic outlook
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Liquidity injections instead of tightening
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Lower volatility and clearer direction
And timing couldn’t be better—the four-year Bitcoin halving cycle suggests it’s time to act.
Institutional capital is flooding in
This isn’t just sentiment. Real forces are driving the market:
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MicroStrategy keeps buying Bitcoin like oxygen
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Spot Bitcoin ETFs are live, and boomers are piling in
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Dozens of altcoin ETFs may be coming soon
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Crypto-friendly legislation is advancing in Congress
Even the SEC seems to be scaling back its "witch hunt" against crypto
This level of institutional alignment was unthinkable two years ago. The same U.S. government that once threatened to "shut down crypto" now wants to become the center of the crypto world.
This isn’t narrative—it’s a script reversal.
How to respond correctly
Don’t let FOMO ruin your strategy. Bull markets reward discipline, not fear of missing out.
Here’s your action plan:
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Ride the trend. Don’t try to short pullbacks—now is not the time.
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Buy the dips. Pullbacks aren’t sell signals—they’re entry opportunities.
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Be selective. Pick your tokens, set limit orders, keep dry powder for uncertainty.
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Have an exit plan. You need profit-taking strategies—don’t let gains slip away. Taking profits gradually works well.
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Watch macro catalysts. The next Fed meeting is in June; rate cuts could extend the rally. But if not, prepare for volatility.
We might see a local top in July or August—possibly around $150K for Bitcoin. Not guaranteed, but based on global M2 trends, it’s a plausible scenario.
Final thoughts
The setup is nearly perfect. Weekly technicals are strongly bullish, M2 liquidity is climbing, macro chaos is fading, and institutions are hoarding Bitcoin like prime real estate.
Opportunities like this don’t come often. If you’re not in yet, you’re already late. If you’re in, your job is to stick to the plan.
The mother of all bull markets may have already begun.
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