Trading in Chaos: My 2025 with Bitget
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Trading in Chaos: My 2025 with Bitget
Man is the end, not the means; I want to become myself.
Navigating Web3 tides with focused insightsAuthor: CryptoSAWA
Introduction | One Lesson I Learned in 2025: Defend First, Then Attack
We once looked forward to 2025 with great anticipation—the mood peaked when Trump, the so-called "crypto-friendly president," took office. Yet, after October, the market turned sharply downward, catching everyone off guard.
If I had to summarize my 2025 in one sentence: I accepted the chaos of the market and placed “surviving” above all else.
I once believed in an eternal bull market, in narrative innovation, in the idea that “spot is safe.” But this year, the market taught me—in the most direct way possible:
When fortune smiles, everything aligns; when it fades, even heroes lose their freedom.
This piece isn’t a performance review—it’s a reflection. A comparison between my series of flawed expectations and how I managed to survive them, and how Bitget’s annual statement helped me see clearly what choices I actually made this year.
1) Observations on Market Changes in 2025
My 2025 could best be described as a disaster from day one.
At the beginning of the year, I was extremely bullish:
I thought macro trends and the Fed would take a backseat, and the real variable would be Trump; ETH would hit new all-time highs, becoming the second crypto asset to surpass a $1 trillion market cap, and the alt-season would arrive right on schedule.
Looking back now, all I can do is laugh bitterly: entering 2025 with such a complete—and completely wrong—outlook, and still being alive today, is nothing short of a medical miracle.
With strong bullish conviction, I started going long on the ETH/BTC exchange rate at 0.022—effectively long ETH, short BTC. As we all know, the rate kept falling. I kept averaging down, until I was nearly liquidated, and my mental state completely collapsed.
I happened to be attending a conference in Hong Kong at the time. The combination of market moves and emotional pressure meant I was escaping reality almost every day. I’d drink late into the night, just hoping to wake up slower the next morning and face those brutal account numbers for less time.
Luckily, the EB rate stabilized around 0.0177 and rebounded. I eventually exited flat, but missed ETH’s subsequent major rally.
That was my first lesson of 2025:
No extreme, no trend; no trend, no extreme.
In trading terms: don’t go long against a downtrend before it becomes extreme; don’t hesitate to go long in an uptrend unless it has already become extreme.
Another mistake came from my obsession with “alt-season.”
I bought a basket of altcoin spot positions, only to get stuck holding a bag. I tried making up for missing ETH by going long PEPE—which did make money, but the holding experience was awful. In the end, it really would’ve been better to just go long ETH directly.
The second lesson hit harder and deeper:
Alt-season is over.
This reflects two fundamental market splits:
1. Divergence between U.S. equities and crypto: overall crypto liquidity dried up, while capital flowed into more certain U.S. stocks;
2. Divergence between blue-chips and alts: alt narratives were thoroughly debunked, and most alts entered a slow, irreversible decline.
At the core, the reason behind this split is that the illusion crypto built around blockchain (as emerging tech) has shattered. People realized it solves abstract problems with little real-world relevance—like overbuilt, abandoned infrastructure projects. No matter how grand they look on the surface, they’re ultimately hollow.
2) My Keywords of the Year: Wait / Defend / Restrain
As mentioned earlier, after a painful first half, I “reformed” myself in September, switching exclusively to ETH futures trading—specifically, shorting ETH.
Shorting wasn’t easy, nor smooth. But through my battles with ETH, I gradually developed a stable trading approach—summarized in three keywords: Wait / Defend / Restrain.
- Wait: Watch more, trade less. Never trade out of compulsion.
- Defend: Learn not to lose money first, then think about making it.
- Restrain: Control leverage, stabilize emotions, let the system make decisions for me.
In terms of asset allocation and trading focus, my choices became very clear:
- Futures trading: Only trade major assets like ETH, deliberately avoiding highly volatile, low-liquidity pure-narrative plays.
- Spot holdings: Hold BGB and PARTI without leverage, as small alpha bets.
- TradFi: Small-sized trades in gold, silver, and other precious metals.
All of this I saw reflected in my Bitget annual report—a mirror showing exactly how I’ve changed.
I’ve been using Bitget since March 2024, totaling 664 days together. In 2025 alone, I executed 651 trades across 54 spot coins, achieving an overall profit of 10%.
The numbers may seem unremarkable, but they hide turbulent waves: At the end of September, I shorted ETH near a local bottom, got hit by a sharp rebound, held through the pain, and finally stopped out at the peak—losing 20% of my principal. It mirrored my earlier long on the EB rate perfectly. Ultimately, it was human nature—greed and fear—that made me break discipline again.
All past experiences shape who I am today.
3) My Most Used Features on Bitget: Futures & TradFi
I still love trading, enjoy the博弈, and remain committed to continuous improvement.
Bitget’s futures experience—execution, depth, stability—allows me to focus on analysis and risk management, rather than being hindered by the tool itself.
And TradFi, especially precious metals, saw volatility spike dramatically toward the end of 2025. Bitget arrived like timely rain, making it much easier for users to access metal markets.
I increasingly feel the world has entered a chaotic era, financial markets growing ever more uncertain, while crypto wanes. Under these conditions, U.S. equities and precious metals may be better options—diversification itself is a form of defense.
Last but not least, Bitget Launchpool—33 rounds in total during 2025. As a BGB holder since 2024, I can only say: LP passive income is steady happiness~
4) My Mindset Evolution, Growth, and Summary in 2025
In 2025, I finally truly accepted three things:
Acknowledge chaos: The market isn’t a predictable system. Many “correct outcomes” are merely one realization among probabilities.
Embrace probabilistic trading: We’re not predicting the future—we’re assessing probability distributions and deciding whether and how much to bet.
Shift the goal from “maximize gains” to “minimize losses”: When you avoid losing, the only question left is how much you’ll earn. Survival itself is an advantage.
When I stopped chasing “one big win” and focused instead on “staying at the table,” trading became simpler.
Slow is fast. I now truly believe in the power of compounding.
GetAgent’s suggestion based on my annual statement aligned perfectly: looking at results, my 2025 gains came from many small positive trades. I had single trades with 20% drawdowns, yet maintained overall profitability.
This proves one thing: what determines outcome isn’t whether I got one call right, but whether I let mistakes spiral out of control.
5) Outlook for 2026: Left for Next Year, and for Readers
I believe RWA will be the dominant narrative in 2026. Watch two developments: first, tokenization of gold driven by the World Gold Council; second, tokenization of equities led by Nasdaq.
On-chain real-world assets have been discussed for a while, but the space is messy, full of low-quality projects masquerading as RWA while backed by junk assets.
I believe 2026 will be a year of cleansing—RWA will accelerate toward legitimacy, bringing quality assets on-chain and enabling freer movement.
Writing this, I recall a line from *The Three-Body Problem*:
The primary goal of civilization is not expansion, but survival.
Those civilizations that truly endure aren’t the most aggressive or dazzling—they’re the ones that earliest accept reality, lower expectations, and proactively adjust their structures. In a universe of extreme uncertainty and unpredictability, survival itself is victory.
Markets aren’t any kinder than the cosmos.
They’re equally indifferent, never explaining themselves, never changing course because of your effort or belief. What you can do is always limited: you can’t control when volatility strikes, decide when a narrative takes off or collapses, or even guarantee a correct call leads to profit. The only things within your control are your exposure level, your betting method, and whether you still have an escape route when you’re wrong.
After 2025, I no longer try to understand every fluctuation or chase every opportunity. I care more about whether my account can withstand the shock when judgments fail, liquidity dries up, and emotions amplify rapidly—whether I still qualify for the next round of play. As long as I remain in the game, letting time flow and compounding continue, even if progress is slow and returns aren’t eye-catching, it’s still a path worth walking.
For me, this is what 2025 truly left behind: no longer treating trading as a war I must win, but as a relationship I must sustain over the long term. Defend first, then attack; survive first, then expand.
Human beings are ends in themselves, not means. I want to become myself.
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