Bitget UEX Daily Report | Tech Stocks Rally for Two Consecutive Days; NVIDIA’s Q4 Revenue Jumps 75%; Circle Surges 35%
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Bitget UEX Daily Report | Tech Stocks Rally for Two Consecutive Days; NVIDIA’s Q4 Revenue Jumps 75%; Circle Surges 35%
Crypto-related stocks surged collectively, and Coinbase’s trading volume rebounded significantly.
Navigating Web3 tides with focused insightsAuthor: Bitget
I. Top News Highlights
Fed Officials Speak in Unison: Inflation and Central Bank Independence Take Center Stage
- Fed’s Michelle Bowman emphasized that inflation remains the core challenge, noting strong labor market conditions but declining to specify a policy path; Raphael Bostic warned that political tensions between the White House and the Fed have eroded public confidence in the Fed’s independence; the New York Fed pointed out weakening demand for U.S. government bonds is pushing up key interest rates. Analysts suggest these remarks may reinforce market expectations of cautious Fed rate cuts, increasing near-term uncertainty around the interest rate path and benefiting defensive assets.
Global Commodities: Saudi Oil Exports Hit Three-Year High
- Saudi Arabia’s crude oil exports averaged 7.3 million barrels per day (bpd) during the first 24 days of February—the highest level since April 2023. If sustained, this would represent an increase of over 400,000 bpd compared to January. This move follows rising tensions in U.S.-Iran indirect negotiations; historically, Saudi Arabia has briefly ramped up output during similar geopolitical flare-ups. Market interpretation suggests potential supply increases could ease geopolitical risk premiums, though Iran-related developments continue to support oil price volatility—keeping near-term oil prices under pressure without triggering sharp declines.
Macroeconomic Policy: U.S. Tariff Hikes Gain Momentum
- The U.S. Trade Representative indicated that “global import tariffs” on certain countries will rise from 10% to 15% or higher; the EU estimates €4.2 billion worth of goods will exceed the 15% tariff cap stipulated under existing trade agreements, and although multiple rounds of consultations have taken place, a 2–3 month adjustment period remains necessary. This escalation intensifies global trade uncertainty, potentially fueling imported inflation and dampening global growth expectations—bolstering safe-haven assets such as gold.
II. Market Recap
Commodities & FX Performance
- Spot Gold: Up 0.47% to $5,194/oz, extending multi-day gains supported by tariff uncertainty and geopolitical risks.
- Spot Silver: Up ~1.03% to $90/oz, hitting a three-week high amid technical buying and safe-haven demand.
- WTI Crude Oil: Up 0.43% to $65.66/bbl, with geopolitical risk premiums offsetting pressure from rising inventories.
- U.S. Dollar Index: Down 0.1% to 97.56, weighed down by tariff uncertainty and improved risk sentiment.
Cryptocurrency Performance
- BTC: Up over 6%, briefly touching $70,000—strong short-term rebound.
- ETH: Up over 11%, reclaiming levels above $2,050 as broader market risk appetite recovers.
- Total Crypto Market Cap: Up 6% to $2.43 trillion, driven by renewed short-term market optimism.
- Liquidations: $592 million in short positions liquidated in the past 24 hours; total liquidations across all markets reached $705 million—significant leveraged unwinding aided the price rebound.
U.S. Equity Indices Performance
- Dow Jones Industrial Average: Up 0.63% to 49,482.15—two consecutive daily gains.
- S&P 500: Up 0.81% to 6,946.13—led by technology and software stocks.
- Nasdaq Composite: Up 1.26% to 23,152.08—driven notably by AI and semiconductor stocks.
Tech Giants’ Updates
- Microsoft (MSFT): Up nearly 3% — robust demand for AI-powered cloud services
- Meta Platforms (META): Up over 2% — optimistic outlook on advertising and AI investments
- NVIDIA (NVDA): Up over 1.4% — heightened AI expectations ahead of earnings report
- Tesla (TSLA): Up over 1.9% — synergy between autonomous driving and energy businesses
- Amazon (AMZN): Up 1% — steady performance in cloud and e-commerce segments
- Alphabet (GOOG): Up modestly by 0.64% — progress in Gemini application deployment
- Apple (AAPL): Up 0.77% — ordered 100 million chips to meet market demand. Summary: The Magnificent Seven collectively rallied, primarily fueled by renewed investor confidence in AI themes and optimistic pre-earnings expectations for NVIDIA.
Sector Movement Watch: AI Application Software Sector — Up over 5%
- Representative Stocks: Figma (FIG) up nearly 14%, AppLovin (APP) up over 7%, Snowflake (SNOW) up over 5%
- Catalyst: Accelerating real-world deployment of AI tools, prompting a rebound in software stocks following prior corrections.
Lithium Mining Sector — Up over 10%
- Representative Stocks: Sigma Lithium (SGML) up nearly 30%, Lithium Argentina (LAR) up nearly 7%, Albemarle (ALB) up nearly 5%
- Catalyst: Zimbabwe’s suspension of spodumene concentrate exports stoked supply concerns and lifted price expectations.
Crypto-Themed Stocks — Up over 8%
- Representative Stocks: Circle (CRCL) up 35.47%, Coinbase (COIN) up over 13%
- Catalyst: Circle’s blowout quarterly results and surging stablecoin demand drove broad-based sector gains.
III. In-Depth Stock Analysis
1. NVIDIA (NVDA) – Earnings and Q1 Guidance Both Beat Expectations
Event Summary: For FY2025 Q4, EPS came in at $1.62—above consensus; total revenue reached $68.13 billion, up 75% YoY and beating estimates; data center revenue totaled $62.3 billion, also up 75% YoY; Q1 guidance topped out at $79.56 billion—significantly above market consensus. However, half of its data center sales coming from a single customer sparked discussion around concentration risk; shares rose nearly 4% after hours. Market Interpretation: Institutions broadly remain bullish on sustained AI demand exceeding expectations; the Blackwell platform ramp-up is expected to underpin full-year growth, though client concentration warrants monitoring. Investment Insight: Near-term valuation expansion is likely driven by earnings momentum; long-term performance remains tied to the pace of AI capital expenditures—consider dips as entry opportunities.
2. Circle (CRCL) – “First Stablecoin IPO” Delivers Strong Results
Event Summary: Q4 FY2025 revenue hit $770 million, up 77% YoY and surpassing forecasts; net income surged to $133 million; USDC issuance continued expanding steadily; shares jumped 35.47% after hours. Market Interpretation: Analysts view the high-growth stablecoin business as validation of regulatory compliance advantages, with further upside possible as crypto market recovery amplifies revenue elasticity. Investment Insight: As the leading compliant stablecoin issuer, CRCL’s earnings underscore sector resilience—making it a core holding within the crypto ecosystem.
3. Trip.com Group (Trip.com) – Full-Year 2025 Net Profit Soars 95% Year-on-Year
Event Summary: Full-year 2025 net profit attributable to shareholders rose 95% YoY, propelled by robust recovery in both domestic and international travel demand—cross-border travel volumes now exceed pre-pandemic 2019 levels, while international platform bookings grew over 60%. Market Interpretation: Institutions note part of the growth was attributable to non-operating gains, yet underlying OTA business strength continues to support long-term valuation recovery. Investment Insight: The travel recovery trend is clear—monitor seasonal catalysts such as holiday periods for continued momentum.
4. Dell Technologies (DELL) – Launches First Liquid-Cooled Outdoor Server
Event Summary: Introduced the PowerEdge XR9700 outdoor server, featuring IP66-rated weatherproof design and operating capability from -40°C to 46°C. Its closed-loop liquid cooling system supports edge AI and Cloud RAN deployments, enabling support for 15 5G sectors per unit. Mass production slated for H2 2026; Japan’s Rakuten Mobile has already announced plans for deployment. Shares rose over 3%. Market Interpretation: Institutions see convergence of edge computing and 5G AI as a promising new growth vector. Investment Insight: Diversification in server demand bolsters Dell’s long-term competitiveness—track progress on AI infrastructure orders closely.
IV. Cryptocurrency Project Updates
- Circle’s Q4 revenue and net income both exceeded expectations, with continued expansion of the USDC ecosystem.
- BTC staged a short-term rebound to $70,000, with leveraged liquidations helping restore market sentiment.
- ETH reclaimed $2,050, accompanied by broad-based gains among major cryptocurrencies.
- Crypto-themed stocks surged collectively, with Coinbase reporting markedly higher trading volumes.
- Rising stablecoin issuance validates the risk resilience of compliant projects.
V. Today’s Market Calendar
Economic Data Release Schedule
| 20:30 | U.S. | Durable Goods Orders | ⭐⭐⭐ |
| 22:00 | U.S. | Pending Home Sales Index | ⭐⭐ |
Key Event Preview
- Event: Third Round of U.S.-Iran Indirect Talks (Geneva) — Monitor nuclear-related developments and oil price reactions
- Event: Baidu Releases Q4 and Full-Year 2025 Earnings — Focus on AI business guidance
Bitget Research View: Yesterday’s tech-led rally pushed all three major U.S. indices higher for two consecutive sessions; NVIDIA’s strong guidance and Circle’s stellar earnings jointly validate resilience across both AI and crypto ecosystems. Gold and silver extended gains amid dual safe-haven demand from tariff tensions and geopolitical risks; WTI crude faced headwinds from Saudi production hikes; the dollar edged lower, reflecting improving risk sentiment. Leading investment banks—including Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley—note that near-term market dynamics will revolve around debates over Fed independence and trade policy maneuvering. We recommend allocating to gold and high-quality tech stocks to hedge against uncertainty, while watching whether the crypto market sustains its short-term rebound above key levels. Overall, we maintain a neutral-to-bullish stance.
Disclaimer: The above content was compiled via AI search and verified manually prior to publication. It does not constitute any investment advice.
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