TechFlow, September 16 — According to the latest Polymarket data, as of today, the probability for the "Fed cutting rates by 25 basis points" option in contracts related to "Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates in September 2025?" has risen to 92%. In comparison, the likelihood of a "cut of 50 basis points or more" stands at 7%, while the probability of "no change" is 2%, and the "rate hike" option is nearly zero. Additionally, trading volume for this prediction event has exceeded $100 million, currently reaching $133,634,862. Since early August, market confidence in a 25-basis-point rate cut has significantly strengthened, possibly reflecting heightened expectations of an economic slowdown and increasing anticipation of a dovish shift in the Fed's policy stance.
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