TechFlow News, February 15: According to Jinshi News, Nick Timiraos—the so-called “Fed whisperer”—wrote that key U.S. economic indicators are all pointing in the same positive direction: inflation is declining, the labor market remains robust, and economic growth is solid. This is not yet a definitive conclusion, but it marks the closest the U.S. economy has ever come to achieving a “soft landing”—taming inflation without triggering a recession. Just four years ago, many economists considered such an outcome impossible. Today, the scenario in which U.S. inflation falls to the Fed’s 2% target without plunging the economy into recession has once again become credible. That said, even if an oxygen mask isn’t needed yet, unbuckling the seatbelt remains premature. The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge—the core PCE price index—is currently hovering near 3% year-on-year. Numerous forecasters expect little progress on inflation this year, as tariff-related price increases continue spreading across broader sectors.
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