TechFlow, Dec 8 — According to analysts at BNY Mellon, market expectations for a Fed rate cut this month have been fully priced in. However, there is growing consensus that any cut would be hawkish, meaning further monetary easing will depend on whether economic data weakens or inflation declines further when figures for March and June 2026 are released. Analysts also noted that the upcoming change in Fed chairmanship poses risks, as markets will assess the new leadership's policy stance. In addition, the FOMC will release its dot plot, which is likely to confirm recent internal disagreements over policy positioning. Significant divergence among committee members regarding the 2026 policy path is expected, reflecting the two-way economic risks we anticipate. (Jinshi)
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