TechFlow, December 8 — According to foreign media reports, Nomura Securities has joined its global peers in reversing its earlier expectation for the Federal Reserve to hold rates steady in December. It now believes the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its December policy meeting. However, Nomura also stated that there remains significant uncertainty surrounding the December policy decision. Nomura revised its rate cut outlook, citing that dovish signals have provided sufficient justification for "risk-management-style rate cuts" in the eyes of Fed moderates. Nomura expects four hawkish members to oppose the rate cut, while Mester is expected to take a dovish stance, supporting a 50-basis-point cut. Nomura continues to forecast two 25-basis-point rate cuts in June and September 2026 under the leadership of the new Fed chair. (Jinshi)
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