TechFlow news, December 8 — According to Jinshi Data, this week's Federal Reserve meeting is expected to be one of the most contentious in years. Investors are focusing on the extent of policymakers' divergence over rate cuts and the signals Powell will send regarding the future path. Janus Henderson believes that, in the long term, the December meeting will have little market impact. There may be some short-term volatility, but actions in the first half of 2026 matter more than those in December. Wilmington Trust believes the market has largely priced in Fed rate cuts; what truly matters now is the Fed's policy guidance. They are expected to remain highly cautious, emphasizing dependence on economic data. Some observers argue that the probability of a Fed rate cut is not as high as the market implies, and they are more focused on Powell's statement and how close the policy vote will be. Nomura economists point out that nothing is certain yet, and the market is underestimating the risk that the Fed may choose not to cut rates in December. In the event of a rate cut decision, the number of dissenting votes will be particularly interesting. With the rotation of four regional Fed presidents, their positions will reveal how much independence they intend to maintain and how much pressure they will exert on the Fed.
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