TechFlow reports, on June 19, Chloe (@ChloeTalk1), author of the HTX DeepThink column and researcher at HTX Research, pointed out that as global macroeconomic and geopolitical risks intensify, the crypto market is entering a critical window for potential sharp volatility. According to multiple sources, the U.S. may launch strikes against Iran's nuclear facilities and core military capabilities, aiming to disrupt its nuclear program and weaken regional deterrence. If carried out, this would mark a shift in U.S.-Iran relations from long-standing proxy conflicts to direct military confrontation. As a strategic pivot among "non-Arab countries" in the Middle East, Iran plays a unique role in balancing the Arab alliance. Whether this strike extends to regime change will be a key variable in assessing the depth and duration of the conflict, and will determine the direction of regional capital flows and global risk sentiment.
Additionally, in the FOMC meeting concluded early today, the Federal Reserve decided to keep interest rates unchanged, in line with market expectations. However, the updated dot plot sent a clearly hawkish signal: although a 50 basis point rate cut is still expected in 2025, the projected easing path for 2026 and beyond has been significantly reduced, reflecting the Fed's more cautious assessment of medium-term inflation pressures. Among the 19 committee members, only 10 expect at least two rate cuts this year—a decline from March—while two anticipate just one cut, and the number of members expecting no rate cuts for the entire year has risen from 4 to 7. This widening divergence reflects growing uncertainty within the Fed regarding economic outlook, inflation trajectory, and policy tolerance.
Note: The content of this article is not investment advice, nor does it constitute any offer, solicitation, or recommendation for investment products.
