TechFlow, June 17 — According to Jinshi Data, CME's "Fed Watch" indicates: The probability of the Federal Reserve holding rates unchanged in July is 85.5%, the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate cut is 14.5%, and the probability of a cumulative 50-basis-point rate cut is 0%;
The probability of holding rates unchanged by September is 32.8%, the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate cut is 58.2%, and the probability of a cumulative 50-basis-point rate cut is 8.9%;
The probability of holding rates unchanged by December is 5.5%, the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate cut is 26.0%, the probability of a cumulative 50-basis-point rate cut is 41.3%, the probability of a cumulative 75-basis-point rate cut is 24.1%, and the probability of a cumulative 100-basis-point rate cut is 3.0%.
