TechFlow news, June 16 — According to Jinshi Data, the Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates unchanged in this week's latest decision. Market focus will center on whether the Fed will send any signals regarding the timing of future rate cuts. Recently released CPI and PPI data came in weaker than expected, prompting market participants to bring forward their expectations for the next rate cut. Money markets have fully priced in a rate cut by October, with a significant probability of action as early as September—previously, the market widely expected a cut no sooner than December. Citigroup analysts noted that the market may currently be underestimating the risk of rate cuts. However, higher U.S. tariffs could push inflation upward, and if tensions between Iran and Israel escalate further, driving oil prices higher, this could further delay the Fed's rate-cutting path. Allianz analysts said that amid elevated inflation, the Fed is unlikely to loosen monetary policy rashly.
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