TechFlow news, on May 26, CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. posted that the unrealized profit ratio for short-term holders with holding periods of 1–3 months is currently at 27%. Over the past four years, whenever this indicator exceeded 40%, this group of holders began selling, creating downward price pressure.
At the current growth rate of approximately 0.818 percentage points per day, the indicator is expected to reach the critical threshold of 40% in 16 days (June 11), at which point the Bitcoin price is projected to be around $162,000.
Axel Adler Jr. noted that this forecast is based on linear extrapolation and does not account for potential "black swan" events or sudden external factors.
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