TechFlow, April 15 — According to Jinshi Data, Federal Reserve Governor Waller stated that the new tariff policy is one of the most significant shocks to the U.S. economy in decades. If the current average rate of 25% persists for some time, inflation could peak near 5%; if tariffs drop to 10%, inflation might peak at around 3%. Under a large-scale tariff scenario, should there be a notable economic slowdown, individuals may favor earlier and more substantial rate cuts than previously anticipated. In a smaller tariff scenario, the Fed could remain more patient, with rate cuts potentially occurring in the second half of the year.
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