TechFlow news, on January 16, according to Jinshi News, the Financial Times' monetary policy radar team predicts the Federal Reserve will carry out two rate cuts in 2025, spaced six months apart. The latest Federal Reserve Beige Book report shows that from late November to December 2023, economic activity across 12 districts showed "slight or moderate" growth, employment increased modestly, and inflation rose "generally mildly." Employment continued to grow in service sectors such as healthcare, while manufacturing employment remained flat.
The report indicates that most businesses remain optimistic about the 2025 economic outlook, although some express concerns over changes in immigration and tariff policies. Some manufacturers have already begun stockpiling inventory in anticipation of potential tariff increases. The Fed's next policy meeting will be held on January 28–29, with futures markets indicating an extremely low probability of a rate cut at this meeting.
