TechFlow news, according to the Bitfinex Alpha report, the Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, leaving BTC exposed to volatility risk. Over the past week, BTC ETFs recorded $403.9 million in net inflows, reversing prolonged capital outflows and signaling renewed investor confidence in the asset.
This rebound has been primarily driven by strong spot market buying. In contrast, derivatives and perpetual contract markets have shown less pronounced activity, suggesting that the current price rise stems from genuine capital inflows rather than speculative leverage—providing a more sustainable foundation for the rally. However, BTC now faces a critical resistance zone between $60,500 and $61,000, which has proven significant since early March. Although ETF inflows remain robust, signs of stagnation are emerging as spot CVD (cumulative volume delta at exchanges) flattened over the weekend.
Analysis suggests market volatility this week is highly likely, driven by investor anticipation surrounding the Fed's rate decision. Whether the cut is 25 or 50 basis points, sentiment may oscillate between bullish optimism and cautious de-risking. Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s correlation with equities is increasing, indicating that movements in traditional financial markets may exert growing influence on Bitcoin’s price. Bitcoin has also decoupled from gold, which hit a record high last week, suggesting that during risk-off periods, investor preference is shifting back toward traditional safe-haven assets.
