TechFlow news, on July 31, according to analysis by OKG Research at OKLink Institute, the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision early Thursday morning (Beijing time 2:00 a.m.) will serve as the "final preview" for rate cuts. The signals released during this meeting will be crucial for liquidity in the crypto market in the second half of the year.
According to CME FedWatch, the probability of a rate cut—defined as a reduction in the federal funds rate target range set by the Federal Reserve—at the conclusion of this policy meeting stands at only 3.1%. However, the likelihood of at least a 25-basis-point cut by September 18 is as high as 89.6%, with a 10.1% chance of a 50-basis-point cut.
Compared to CME FedWatch data from July 16, more traders have recently become optimistic about a potential 50-basis-point cut or more in September (on July 16, the probability of a 50-basis-point cut was 6.7%).
