TechFlow news, December 5 — According to Jinshi Data, T. Rowe Price's chief U.S. economist Blarina Uluchi noted in a report that the Federal Reserve's monetary policy path in the second half of 2026 remains highly uncertain. "Where I diverge most from the market is on the pricing of rate cuts during the first half of 2026; I believe current market expectations are too dovish," she said. This will depend not only on the evolution of macroeconomic data but also on the reaction function of the Fed's new leadership. Uluchi believes that if inflation re-accelerates from this quarter onward and economic growth remains solid—as she expects—then the Fed will be unable to deliver on the market's pricing for further easing next year. She indicated the Fed could pause its rate-cutting cycle after the December meeting.
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