TechFlow news, August 14 — According to Jinshi Data, institutional surveys show a significant shift in market expectations for the Fed's September meeting.
Data from Kalshi indicates traders now assign a higher probability to a 50 basis point rate cut (11%) than to no rate cut at all (10%). While most respondents still expect a 25 basis point cut (81%), the balance between "no change" and "larger rate cuts" is reversing, suggesting some market participants are beginning to price in more aggressive easing.
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