TechFlow, May 16 — According to Jinshi Data, Everbright Futures reported that on May 15, COMEX gold prices rose 1.74% to $3,243.90 per ounce, while the main SHFE gold contract increased 1.22% to 754.32 yuan per gram. On the data front, the U.S. industrial production month-on-month rate for April was 0%, missing the expected 0.2% and following a previous reading of -0.30%. Regarding rate cuts, Powell stated that the Federal Reserve is adjusting its overall policy framework, noting that zero interest rates are no longer a baseline scenario and that wording around shortfalls in employment and average inflation needs reconsideration. The latest CME "Fed Watch" data shows a 91.7% probability of unchanged rates in June, with an 8.3% chance of a 25-basis-point cut; by July, the probability of unchanged rates stands at 63.2%, a cumulative 25-basis-point cut at 34.2%, and a cumulative 50-basis-point cut at 2.6%. Overall, April's U.S. industrial production data fell short of expectations, prompting a rebound in gold overnight. Investors should note that market expectations for the timing of Fed rate cuts have been delayed.
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