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TechFlow news, April 7 — According to Jinshi Data, Goldman Sachs has cut its forecast for U.S. GDP growth in Q4 2025 to 0.5% and raised the 12-month recession probability from 35% to 45%, citing sharply tighter financial conditions, foreign consumer resistance, and persistently surging policy uncertainty, which could dampen capital expenditures more than previously assumed.
According to Jinshi Data, Goldman Sachs has cut its forecast for U.S. GDP growth in Q4 2025 to 0.5%, and raised the 12-month recession probability from 35% to 45%, due to a sharp tightening in financial conditions, foreign consumer resistance, and persistently surging policy uncertainty, which could dampen capital expenditure to a greater extent than previously assumed.
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