TechFlow news, April 5 — According to Jinshi Data, Morgan Stanley stated, "Tariffs are unlikely to restructure the U.S. economic framework in the way the Trump administration hopes." Analysts noted in a research report that the imbalance between U.S. savings and investment has led to the country's trade deficit, and achieving meaningful rebalancing in the short term is not feasible. The most likely outcome of tariffs is isolationism, equivalent to higher inflation and lower growth. The initial reaction from financial markets suggests they agree with this view. President Trump's policies amount to a return to protectionism, potentially raising the effective tariff rate on U.S. imports to 22%, a level unseen in a century and more than double analysts' expectations at the beginning of the year. The risk of recession has risen sharply.
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