TechFlow news, on November 13, according to CME's "Fed Watch" data, the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining current interest rates unchanged by December is 24.3%, while the probability of a cumulative 25 basis points rate cut is 75.7% (before CPI release: 37.9% and 62.1% respectively). By January next year, the probability of holding rates steady is 16.5%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis points cut is 59.2%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis points cut is 24.3% (before CPI release: 26.5%, 54.9%, and 18.6% respectively).
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