TechFlow news: On September 18, Adam, a researcher at Greeks.live, posted on social media that three hours before the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, futures data indicated a 60% probability of a 50 basis point rate cut and a 40% probability of a 25 basis point cut. The cryptocurrency options market reflected significant divergence, with implied volatility for ultra-short-term options reaching as high as 70%, and bearish options showing notably higher implied volatility. Options trading was concentrated in BTC put contracts at $58,000 and ETH put contracts at $2,200, indicating an overall bearish sentiment. The market views a 25 basis point cut as below expectations, while a 50 basis point cut could signal worsening economic indicators.
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