TechFlow News: On April 12, Charu Chanana, Chief Investment Strategist at Saxo Bank, stated that the failed U.S.-Iran negotiations represent a step backward. For markets, this implies that the previous de-escalation trade is likely to unwind. Oil prices may rebound, risk sentiment will be hit again, and the Strait of Hormuz—though not fully closed—will remain a tangible chokepoint risk. However, given the vast gulf between the two sides’ positions on nuclear safeguards and the Strait of Hormuz, this outcome is hardly surprising. For the U.S. dollar, it means renewed safe-haven support—but unless there is new military escalation, a broad-based surge is unlikely. Gold may benefit from renewed geopolitical hedge demand, though markets are not yet reverting fully to the worst-case inflation shock scenario.
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