TechFlow News: On February 13, according to JINSHI Data, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.2% month-on-month in January—slightly below both the 0.3% increase recorded in December and economists’ forecast of 0.3%. Excluding volatile food and energy prices, the core CPI rose 0.3% month-on-month—marginally higher than December’s 0.2% gain. Year-on-year, the overall CPI increased by 2.4%, down from 2.7% in December, primarily due to a high base effect from last year; the core CPI rose 2.5% year-on-year, down from 2.6% in December. This January report marks the first inclusion of updated seasonal adjustment factors reflecting price changes in 2025. Economists noted that core CPI data for January often exceed expectations because the BLS model does not fully account for one-time price hikes occurring at the start of the year. This month’s increase may reflect both this “January effect” and the pass-through impact of Trump’s broad-based tariffs. Although inflation has moderated, a stabilizing labor market could prompt the Federal Reserve to hold interest rates steady for an extended period. Economists anticipate that inflation may rise temporarily during the year, driven by the pass-through effects of import tariffs and last year’s U.S. dollar depreciation.
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