TechFlow news, February 11: According to data from JIN10, CME’s “FedWatch” tool shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points by March is 21.7%, while the probability of holding rates steady remains at 78.3%. By April, the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate cut stands at 35.7%, the probability of no change remains at 58.9%, and the probability of a cumulative 50-basis-point cut is 5.4%. By June, the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate cut rises to 49%.
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