TechFlow news, January 9 — According to a VanEck report, in the base case scenario, the Bitcoin price is projected to reach $2.9 million by 2050, representing a 15% compound annual growth rate from current levels. This model assumes Bitcoin will account for 5–10% of global trade and become a reserve asset equivalent to 2.5% of central bank balance sheets.
In the optimistic scenario, if Bitcoin captures 20% of global trade and 10% of GDP, its price could reach $53.4 million, with a compound annual growth rate of 29%. In the conservative scenario, Bitcoin’s annual growth rate would be only 2%, resulting in a price of approximately $130,000.
VanEck recommends allocating 1–3% of a diversified investment portfolio to Bitcoin, with investors having high risk tolerance considering allocations as high as 20%. The study highlights that as a non-sovereign reserve asset, Bitcoin can hedge against currency depreciation risks, especially amid high sovereign debt levels in developed markets.
