TechFlow, December 26 — According to Jinshi Data, two members of Barclays FICC Research said in a research report that the Bank of Japan may raise interest rates in July and December 2026. The members stated this outlook is based on Japan's "spring wage negotiation cycle." They noted that the Bank of Japan's recent rate hike once again indicates that wage increases determined during the annual spring negotiations are not only the starting point of the central bank's "wage-price cycle" narrative but also its strongest bargaining chip with the Japanese government on rate hikes. The members added that the Bank of Japan must continue to give due attention to the risk of renewed yen depreciation, as it has done so far.
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