TechFlow, December 19 — Delphi Digital's latest "Market Outlook 2026" report indicates that despite低迷 sentiment in the crypto market, the macroeconomic environment is shifting from divergence to convergence, with global central banks entering a rate-cutting cycle. The Federal Reserve has ended quantitative tightening, and the federal funds rate is expected to fall below 3% by the end of 2026, potentially boosting global liquidity. The report highlights that gold prices breaking new highs reflect an accelerating trend of currency depreciation, with central banks purchasing over 600 tons of gold in 2025 and expected to continue adding around 70 tons per month in 2026. Meanwhile, the U.S.'s substantial fiscal deficit (USD 1.5–2 trillion annually) is squeezing liquidity in funding markets, putting pressure on the U.S. Treasury market. Analysts believe that as liquidity conditions improve, inflation-resistant assets such as Bitcoin will benefit, though the market will not see the same level of extreme monetary looseness observed during 2020–2021.
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