TechFlow, November 14 — According to Jinshi Data, Societe Generale's interest rate strategists reported that as the U.S. government shutdown ends, interest rate volatility may rise again, led by U.S. Treasury yields, while economic data could also deviate from expectations in either direction. The strategists stated, "With the restart of economic mechanisms, we expect dollar interest rates to exhibit the greatest volatility, and we maintain our preference for U.S. Treasuries over German bunds." They noted that upcoming inflation and employment reports will be crucial in shaping market expectations for the Fed's rate path, and these data points may break out of recent trading ranges. The strategists believe eurozone rates will remain secondary, as resilient data and the ECB's relatively clear policy trajectory will continue to suppress market volatility.
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