How far is $250,000 Bitcoin from us?
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How far is $250,000 Bitcoin from us?
Institutional accumulation and strong technical indicators suggest the $250,000 target could be achieved next year.
Navigating Web3 tides with focused insightsAuthor: Alertforalpha
Translation: Baicai Blockchain
$250,000 Bitcoin—sounds crazy, right?
But some坚定 bulls are calling this number, and they have charts to back it up. Here's why this isn't just fantasy.
1. M2 Surge—A Tsunami of Liquidity
Global M2 money supply is surging and won't stop anytime soon. According to Real Vision analysis, the global liquidity wave will continue until 2026. This means the four-year cycle could be broken. Don't expect a top by October this year. If money keeps flowing, BTC could hit $250,000 by next spring.
2. High-Yield Bonds—No Panic, No Problem
Bitcoin bull Tom Lee points out that the high-yield bond market—the canary in the coal mine for financial crises—is not panicking. Government bonds show some volatility, but high-yield bonds remain calm. This is not a pre-crash signal. If the bond market isn't nervous, you shouldn't be either.
3. V-Shaped Recovery Probability—History Favors Bulls
Interestingly, since 1950, 17 out of 18 major downturns were followed by a quick V-shaped recovery, a 94% hit rate. If you think the market will crash straight down, you're betting against history.
4. Business Cycle Bottom—We're at the Low Point
Markets top at the peak of the business cycle, not at the bottom. Right now we're still in the "ugly, scary" phase of the cycle. That’s good news for bulls. Once the cycle turns, the bull run begins.
5. Technical Models Point Higher
Technical analysis also supports upside:
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Power Law Chart: baseline $150,000 by end of 2025, reaching $250,000 by 2028.
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Pi Cycle Top: currently around $160,000, but sustained rise could reach $250,000.
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Golden Ratio Multiplier: conservative estimate $160,000, extended projection reaches $250,000.
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Fibonacci Extension: if history repeats, target between $215,000 and $250,000.
6. Institutions Are Still Accumulating
Don't forget the big players. Institutions like BlackRock, Fidelity, and MicroStrategy are still buying large amounts of Bitcoin. There are even rumors the U.S. government is considering adding BTC to its strategic reserves. You don’t want to miss the train once it starts moving.
7. Mindset Shift—This Is a Marathon
Yes, there will be "violent, nauseating pullbacks." You'll feel like it's all over—then prices explode. The road to $250,000 will liquidate countless newcomers. Don't become one of them.
Summary—Hold On
The bottom line? Ignore the noise, disregard the bears, stay focused. If you're a long-term player, $250,000 Bitcoin isn't just possible—it's within reach.
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