TechFlow news, September 6 — According to Cointelegraph, crypto analyst PlanC posted on X stating that anyone who believes Bitcoin will peak in the fourth quarter of this year does not understand statistics or probability. From a statistical and probabilistic standpoint, doing so is equivalent to observing three consecutive tails in coin tosses and then betting all your money that the fourth toss will also be tails. However, relying solely on the previous three halving cycles does not provide statistically significant data.
Today, with the rise of Bitcoin investment firms and massive capital inflows into U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs, the halving cycle is no longer relevant to Bitcoin. Aside from psychological, self-fulfilling prophecies, there are no fundamental reasons explaining why Bitcoin should peak in the fourth quarter of 2025.
