TechFlow news — On December 21, Matthew Sigel, VanEck's Director of Digital Asset Research, published a quantitative analysis on X regarding Senator Cynthia Lummis’s proposed Bitcoin Strategic Reserve plan. According to modeling projections, if the U.S. Treasury starts purchasing at an initial price of $200,000 and accumulates 1 million bitcoins over five years, by 2050 this reserve could reach 36% of the total U.S. national debt.
The research model is based on the following key assumptions: U.S. national debt grows at an annual rate of 5% (lower than the 8% compound annual growth rate over the past decade), and bitcoin prices maintain a 25% compound annual growth rate.




