TechFlow News — On October 16, Adam, a researcher at Greeks.live, posted on social media stating that as the U.S. election draws closer, various polling channels indicate Trump is leading in the race. However, significant uncertainty remains around the election outcome.
Datalab options data shows that the at-the-money implied volatility (IV) for BTC during election week stands at 57%, compared to 47% in the week prior—indicating the market is pricing in a 10% IV premium for the election event.
The current term structure further reflects an implicit market view: volatility is expected to remain contained before the election concludes. Trading volume trends support this view as well—despite a solid rally this week, large holders appear reluctant to bet on further upside momentum.
