TechFlow News, June 10: According to a report published by blockchain intelligence firm TRM Labs and cited by CoinTelegraph, the forecasted trading volume for prediction markets in Q1 2026 is $36.6 billion—surpassing on-chain gambling’s $14 billion for the first time. On-chain gambling achieved a total annual trading volume of $51 billion in 2025, setting a new quarterly record of $15 billion in Q4 2025.
TRM Labs noted that despite the broader crypto market correction, trading volumes in both sectors remained stable, primarily driven by sustained activity from loyal user bases. Regarding user composition, “high rollers” account for only 6.3% of individual wallets yet generate 91.8% of total trading volume. Meanwhile, average bettors’ monthly trading volume grew from $17 million in January 2022 to $188 million in March 2026; “casual gamblers” saw their monthly trading volume increase twelvefold over the same period, indicating significant expansion of the incremental user base.
From a risk perspective, TRM Labs highlights differing financial crime risks across the two platforms: gambling platforms face higher money laundering risks, whereas prediction markets are more susceptible to insider trading scrutiny.
