TechFlow News: On May 15, according to WIRED, Michael Selig, Chairman of the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), stated that the agency is leveraging artificial intelligence to investigate insider trading on prediction markets such as Polymarket. Over the past year, multiple traders on Polymarket are suspected of using non-public information to place early bets on geopolitical events—including Venezuela’s surprise military action and the Iran war—and reaped substantial profits, drawing widespread attention. Previously, a U.S. Special Forces soldier was arrested for allegedly profiting from betting on the Maduro arrest incident on Polymarket using classified intelligence—marking the first criminal case of insider trading in a prediction market in the United States.
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