TechFlow News, April 3: According to data from JIN10, Lydia Boussour, Senior Economist at EY-Parthenon, stated that although U.S. employment data for March showed a strong rebound, the labor market remains fragile. She noted that, against a backdrop of highly uncertain policy conditions, businesses have grown more cautious—hiring intentions are cooling, and firms are increasingly prioritizing profit margin protection by boosting productivity rather than expanding their workforce. “Looking ahead, we expect the labor market in 2026 to be essentially frozen, characterized by selective hiring, constrained wage growth, and strategic workforce adjustments—even as labor supply remains historically tight.” Boussour forecasts employment growth will slightly fall short of break-even levels and unemployment will gradually rise to approximately 4.7%. “Given the ongoing Middle East conflict, downside risks predominate, with a 40% probability of recession,” she added.
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