TechFlow News, April 1: According to BeInCrypto, Bitcoin (BTC) closed March with a 1.8% gain, ending a five-month losing streak that began in September 2025. However, April opened with renewed volatility, and BTC briefly fell to $67,630 during the Asian morning session. Although April has historically been a strong month for BTC—averaging a 12.1% gain—the market has consistently deviated from seasonal patterns since late 2025. On the macro and geopolitical front, Binance Research notes that clear ceasefire signals between the U.S. and Iran could further boost the crypto market’s recovery.
Technically, some analysts believe the current macro environment closely resembles the market structure preceding BTC’s major rallies in 2016 and 2020. However, both Alphractal’s CEO and CryptoQuant’s models suggest the current cycle’s bottom may occur between September and November 2026, at which point BTC could potentially fall below $40,000.
