TechFlow News, January 30: According to U.S. media reports, at least one authoritative estimate suggests that 2026 may mark the first genuine decline in the U.S. population in history. Even if this milestone does not occur this year, experts on both sides of the immigration debate broadly agree that Trump’s second term is accelerating a critical inflection point—namely, when net migration will no longer offset declining birth rates and rising mortality driven by an aging native-born population. The more aggressively Trump restricts immigration, the sooner the U.S. population will plateau—or even begin to shrink. When the U.S. Census Bureau released its long-term projections in 2023, its primary forecast was that the U.S. population would first decline in 2081. Yet current trends indicate that the U.S. will record, at best, a population growth rate lower than Germany’s this year—a country whose severely aging population has earned it the moniker “the sick man of Europe.” (Jinshi Data)
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