Bitget UEX Daily Report | U.S.-Iran Second-Round Negotiations Under Preparation, Oil Prices Decline; Storage and Lithium Mining Sectors Lead Gains
TechFlow Selected TechFlow Selected
Bitget UEX Daily Report | U.S.-Iran Second-Round Negotiations Under Preparation, Oil Prices Decline; Storage and Lithium Mining Sectors Lead Gains
Overall, the current market is balancing optimism against geopolitical uncertainty. Institutions tend to maintain allocations to growth stocks and focus on structural opportunities in AI and new energy themes.
Navigating Web3 tides with focused insightsAuthor: Bitget
I. Key News Highlights
Federal Reserve Updates
U.S.-Iran ceasefire negotiations advance steadily; second round of face-to-face talks may be held on April 16
- The Trump administration is preparing Geneva or Islamabad as venues for the second round of direct negotiations; U.S. Vice President Vance stated that substantive progress has been made, though final authorization requires approval from Iran’s Supreme Leader—the core issue centers on full reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Iranian President and French President held a phone call emphasizing Iran’s negotiating sincerity, yet Hezbollah refuses disarmament, leaving the situation uncertain.
- Market impact: Progress in negotiations boosts risk appetite, driving short-term declines in energy prices and easing expectations of global supply-chain strain.
International Commodities
LME aluminum surges to four-year high amid dual shocks from Middle East conflict
- The Middle East accounts for ~9% of global aluminum output; Emirates Global Aluminium’s smelter was attacked, triggering force majeure clauses. Ongoing risks of shipping disruption in the Strait of Hormuz continue to lift regional premiums, while inventories remain low.
- Market impact: Rising aluminum prices underscore how geopolitical conflict amplifies supply-side pressure on industrial metals—short-term premium support is expected, with downstream manufacturing costs likely to rise.
Macroeconomic Policy
BlackRock reinstates overweight rating on U.S. equities, citing controllable conflict and AI-driven earnings
- BlackRock’s strategy team notes partial resumption of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, limited macroeconomic impact from the conflict, and upward revisions to corporate earnings forecasts (semiconductor sector projected to grow 80% this year). The rating had shifted to neutral earlier due to Middle East tensions but is now upgraded back to overweight.
- Market impact: Institutional risk appetite rebounds, reinforcing the U.S. equity rally—tech and growth stocks are expected to gain further support.
II. Market Recap
Commodities & FX Performance
- Spot gold: Up ~0.57% to $4,767/oz.
- Spot silver: Up ~0.48% to $75.63/oz.
- WTI crude: Down 2.69% to $96.22/bbl, as optimistic Middle East negotiations ease supply concerns.
- Brent crude: Down 2.68% to $96.70/bbl, driven by expectations of resumed navigation through the Strait of Hormuz.
- Dollar Index: Slightly down to ~98.352, reflecting reduced safe-haven demand amid risk-asset rallies.
Cryptocurrency Performance
- BTC: Up ~4.7% in 24H to $74,894; optimistic Middle East negotiations spurred broad-based risk-asset rallies and enabled a decisive breakout above key resistance.
- ETH: Up ~7.08% in 24H to $2,394.
- Total crypto market cap: Up ~3.8% in 24H to ~$2.6 trillion.
- Liquidations: ~$531 million liquidated in 24H, including $426 million in short positions.
- Bitget BTC/USDT liquidation heatmap: Current price (~$74,157) sits near the upper edge of dense liquidation zones; short liquidations are heavily clustered between $74,000–$76,000, suggesting potential for short squeezes and further upside. Long liquidations between $72,000–$73,500 are comparatively sparse—support is weak if price falls below $73,500, potentially triggering accelerated pullbacks.
- Spot ETF net flows: BTC spot ETFs saw ~$326 million net outflow yesterday; ETH spot ETFs recorded $7.8 million net inflow.
- BTC spot flows: Overall inflow of $2.887 billion yesterday, net outflow of ~$2.917 billion, resulting in net outflow of $29.47 million.
U.S. Equity Index Performance
- Dow Jones: +0.63% to 48,218.25, extending its consecutive rally.
- S&P 500: +1.02% to 6,886.24, recovering all losses since the conflict began and hitting a new high since late February.
- Nasdaq: +1.23% to 23,183.74, led by high-speed interconnect and storage stocks.
Tech Giants’ Updates
As of yesterday’s close:
- Microsoft (MSFT): +3.64% to $384.37
- NVIDIA (NVDA): +0.36% to $189.31
- Google (GOOGL): +1.28% to $321.31
- Apple (AAPL): −0.49% to $259.20
- Amazon (AMZN): +0.63% to $239.89
- Meta (META): +0.74% to $634.53
- Tesla (TSLA): +0.99% to $352.42 — broad gains across most names, driven primarily by AI and software-sector rebound.
Sector Rotation Observations
High-Speed Interconnect / Storage Sector: Up >5%
- Key stocks: SanDisk (SNDK) +11.83% (added to Nasdaq-100 + high-bandwidth flash development), Micron (MU), Western Digital (WDC) also strengthened.
- Catalyst: Surging AI data-center demand combined with index rebalancing.
Lithium Mining Stocks: Up >6%
- Key stocks: Albemarle (ALB) +6.79%, Sigma Lithium (SGML) +17.10%.
- Catalyst: Rising expectations for recovery across the new-energy supply chain.
Software / AI Sector: Significant rebound
- Key stocks: Oracle (ORCL) +12.69%, Salesforce (CRM) +4.76%.
- Catalyst: Capital reallocation into oversold names, bolstered by confidence in AI agent technology advances.
III. In-Depth Stock Analysis
1. Microsoft – Copilot Team Integrates OpenClaw Open-Source AI Agent Technology
Event Summary: A new team led by Microsoft Corporate Vice President Omar Shahine is exploring integration of OpenClaw—an open-source AI agent framework—into Microsoft 365 Copilot, aiming to build an AI agent capable of autonomous, 24/7 operation without requiring step-by-step user instructions to handle complex tasks. CEO Satya Nadella has prioritized Copilot restructuring, elevating reporting lines for several senior executives directly to the CEO office. Market Interpretation: Institutions view this as a strategic acceleration in Microsoft’s AI agent initiatives, significantly enhancing Copilot’s commercial competitiveness. Investment Implication: Pace of AI application-layer deployment is quickening—long-term growth potential in Microsoft and its broader AI software ecosystem warrants close attention.
2. Credo Technology – Acquires Israeli Silicon Photonics Firm DustPhotonics
Event Summary: Credo Technology acquired DustPhotonics for $750 million in cash plus ~920,000 ordinary shares. DustPhotonics specializes in next-generation high-speed optical interconnect solutions for data centers, AI, and high-performance computing. Jefferies initiated coverage with a “Buy” rating. Market Interpretation: Viewed as a strategic move strengthening positioning in high-speed interconnects and boosting AI infrastructure competitiveness. Investment Implication: M&A activity around silicon photonics may accelerate—optical communications-related equities merit tracking.
3. Bloom Energy – Expands Fuel Cell Strategic Partnership with Oracle
Event Summary: Bloom Energy announced a Master Services Agreement with Oracle, which plans to procure up to 2.8 GW of fuel cell systems—1.2 GW already contracted—for powering AI and cloud infrastructure. Market Interpretation: Analysts see fuel cells playing a pivotal role in green energy transitions for data centers; the scale of cooperation exceeds prior expectations. Investment Implication: Clear convergence of clean energy and AI infrastructure—suppliers of related technologies may see order acceleration.
4. Circle – Crypto Legislation Reignites Attention; Shares Surge 12.09%
Event Summary: Following Senate agenda resumption, regulatory bills like the CLARITY Act have re-emerged as focal points; clarity on stablecoin frameworks appears imminent, propelling Circle—issuer of USDC—to >12% share gains Monday. Market Interpretation: Markets anticipate legislative progress will resolve jurisdictional disputes between the SEC and CFTC, delivering long-term regulatory certainty. Investment Implication: Crypto infrastructure firms may benefit first—monitor timing of stablecoin-related policy implementation.
IV. Cryptocurrency Project Updates
1. STRC perpetual preferred shares, issued by Strategy, achieved $1.1 billion in single-day trading volume—a record high, up 46.5% from previous peaks.
2. Patrick Witt, Executive Director of the White House Presidential Advisory Commission on Digital Assets, stated that the stablecoin yield dispute within the Digital Asset Market Structure Clarity Act (“Clarity Act”) has reached compromise, with other hurdles gradually clearing. Witt emphasized resolving stablecoin yield issues is a prerequisite for advancing the bill—and the current compromise appears sustainable.
3. Solana co-founder Anatoly Yakovenko proposed building a base-layer stablecoin architecture where freezing authority rests solely with courts. He stated that any stablecoin subject to freezing by entities other than judges approved by the U.S. Senate cannot truly be considered “dollars,” and highlighted this as an opportunity for other teams to develop DeFi-native, more responsive stablecoins.
4. Ondo Finance submitted a no-action letter request to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), seeking confirmation that Ondo Global Markets (OGM) securities rights can be tokenized, recorded, and managed on Ethereum mainnet without altering existing securities law frameworks.
5. Arkham data shows World Liberty Financial minted 25 million USD1 via BitGo Custody and burned 3 million USD1 via the TokenGovernor contract—resulting in a net increase of 22 million USD1 in circulation.
6. Strategy purchased 13,927 Bitcoin between April 6–12 at an average price of ~$71,902, spending ~$1 billion. Year-to-date BTC return stands at 5.6%. As of April 12, Strategy holds 780,897 BTC, with total cost ~$59.02 billion and average acquisition cost ~$75,577.
V. Today’s Market Calendar
Data Release Schedule
Key Event Preview
- Event: Preparations for second round of U.S.-Iran negotiations—watch for Strait of Hormuz developments impacting oil prices and risk sentiment.
Tuesday (April 14)
- JPMorgan Chase (JPM) reports Q1 earnings pre-market
- IEA releases monthly oil market report—contrast with OPEC report to gauge energy-sector sentiment
- Rumors circulate internally at OpenAI that GPT-6 may launch today, potentially providing short-term stimulus to AI-related equities
Wednesday (April 15)
- ASML reports Q1 earnings pre-market
- Global semiconductor supply chain price hikes are accelerating from cost inputs across the entire value chain—monitor gross margin trends at relevant companies
Thursday (April 16)
- TSMC reports Q1 earnings pre-market; Netflix (NFLX) reports Q1 earnings post-market; ★★★★★
- U.S. initial jobless claims for week ending April 11 released
- Fed officials deliver密集 speeches; Fed releases Beige Book—any “hawkish” signals could dampen risk appetite. ★★★★★
Friday (April 17)
- Earnings season continues—possible disclosures from regional banks or small/mid-cap tech firms; overall market may enter weekend wait-and-see mode.
*Overall trading recommendation for this week: Earnings results and Fed “hawkishness” will dominate market sentiment. Continue monitoring Iran developments and follow-up to U.S.-Iran negotiations. Focus on structural opportunities in banking, technology, energy, and semiconductors.
Institutional Views:
BlackRock’s latest commentary is most representative: Though the Middle East conflict introduces short-term volatility, partial restoration of Strait of Hormuz shipping has contained economic impact, and corporate earnings forecasts remain upwardly revised—especially semiconductor sector growth potential of 80% driven by AI—prompting reinstatement of overweight U.S. equity allocation. Multiple investment banks concur that negotiation progress will further ease energy-price pressure and sustain risk-asset rallies. Meanwhile, rising regulatory scrutiny over private credit reminds investors to monitor latent vulnerabilities in the financial system. Overall, markets currently balance optimism from negotiations against geopolitical uncertainty; institutions lean toward maintaining growth-stock allocations and targeting structural opportunities in AI and new-energy themes. Short-term volatility is expected to narrow with negotiation outcomes—but longer-term inflation and supply-chain risks remain concerns.
Disclaimer: The above content was compiled via AI search and verified manually before publication. It does not constitute any investment advice.
Join TechFlow official community to stay tuned
Telegram:https://t.me/TechFlowDaily
X (Twitter):https://x.com/TechFlowPost
X (Twitter) EN:https://x.com/BlockFlow_News
