VC Airdrop Probability Theory: Which Projects Invested by VCs Have the Highest Chance of Dropping an Airdrop?
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VC Airdrop Probability Theory: Which Projects Invested by VCs Have the Highest Chance of Dropping an Airdrop?
If these venture capitalists invest in the project, then the project guarantees there will be an airdrop.
Navigating Web3 tides with focused insightsAuthor: defizard
Compiled by: TechFlow
What do L0, zkSync, and Starknet have in common?
They were all funded by the same investors. If a venture capital firm invested in a project, then that project is almost guaranteed to have an airdrop.
a16z (@a16zcrypto)
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Number of investments: 169.
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Projects with airdrops: 15.
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Farcaster, EigenLayer, Worldcoin, LayerZero, zkSync, Uniswap, Sui, Aptos, Optimism, Goldfinch, Ape, dYdX, Forta, Gitcoin.
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Airdrop ratio: 8.87%.
Paradigm (@paradigm)
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Number of investments: 92.
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Projects with airdrops: 10.
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Uniswap, Farcaster, Friend Tech, Optimism, dYdX, Osmosis, Blur, Ribbon Finance, Gitcoin, Starknet.
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Airdrop ratio: 10.86%.
Binance Labs (@BinanceLabs)
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Number of investments: 216.
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Projects with airdrops: 19.
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Aptos, 1inch, Biconomy, Axelar, Space ID, Maverick, Galxe, Mint Club, Aevo, Bounce Bit, Renzo Protocol, Ethena, Arkham, Polyhedra, Sui, Hooked Protocol, Magic Square, Fusionist, Celestia.
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Airdrop ratio: 8.79%.
Coinbase Ventures (@coinbase)
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Number of investments: 394.
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Projects with airdrops: 25.
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Uniswap, Aptos, Arbitrum, Optimism, TheGraph, IMX, Sei, Ribbon, Worldcoin, Biconomy, Hashflow, Arkham, Maverick, Galxe, Evmos, Goldfinch, Forta, Umee, Connext, Hop, Axelar, Wormhole, Maverick, Arkham, EigenLayer.
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Airdrop ratio: 6.34%
DragonFly Capital (@dragonfly_xyz)
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Number of investments: 149.
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Projects with airdrops: 25.
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Aptos, dYdX, 1inch, Ribbon Finance, Axelar, Hashflow, Galxe, Avail, Ethena, zkSync, Parcl.
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Airdrop rate: 7.38%.
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HashKey Capital (@HashKey_Capital)
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Number of investments: 236.
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Projects with airdrops: 8.
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dYdX, 1inch, Galxe, Evmos, Avail, Polyhedra, Beoble, Aethir.
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Airdrop ratio: 3.38%.
When I started writing this thread, I expected the statistics to look better. I pulled all data from @CryptoRank_io, using "number of investments" as the overall metric—meaning total investments made.
Every project mentioned here backed by any of these VCs, I’m confident will conduct an airdrop—like Monad, Babylon, or Symbiotic.
But we can’t guarantee that if one of these VCs has invested in a project you’re farming, it will definitely do an airdrop.
You should examine tokenomics, development stage, whitepaper, team, investors, rumors, etc., to assess the likelihood of an airdrop.
It’s not difficult—you just need some basic knowledge and a bit of luck.
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@belizardd
