TechFlow News: On February 11, according to CME’s “FedWatch,” the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points by March is 6.0% (21.7% prior to the announcement), while the probability of holding rates steady is 94.0% (78.3% prior to the announcement).
The probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate cut by April is 18.8% (35.7% prior to the announcement); the probability of holding rates steady is 80.4% (58.9% prior to the announcement); and the probability of a cumulative 50-basis-point rate cut is 0.9% (5.4% prior to the announcement).
The probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate cut by June is 49.4% (49.0% prior to the announcement). (Jin10 Data)
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