TechFlow news: On February 11, according to JINSHI Data, U.S. short-term interest rate futures declined following the release of the January nonfarm payrolls report. Traders now assign only a 20% probability to a Federal Reserve rate cut before April—down significantly from roughly 40% prior to the data release. Although they still expect the Fed’s next rate cut in June, the probability of the Fed holding rates steady at that meeting has risen to nearly 40%, up from about 25% before the employment report was published.
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