TechFlow news, on January 4th, Matrixport released its 2026 crypto industry outlook, stating, "2026 may become a critical turning point for the crypto market: amid the Federal Reserve leadership transition, weakening employment, and election-year policy disruptions, market volatility is likely to increase significantly. On the macro side, monthly CPI and employment data, several FOMC meetings updating the SEP, and potential government shutdown risk windows may collectively amplify cross-asset volatility; on the crypto side, the final implementation phase of MiCA in Europe, major protocol upgrades, the Mt.Gox repayment deadline, and the inflection point window in December, 'approximately 15 months before the next halving,' could also serve as key triggering factors.
In 2026, it is highly unlikely that sustained unilateral trends will form. With frequent risk events and overlapping policy windows, catalysts at both the macro and crypto levels will emerge successively and alternately dominate market pricing. Investors need to remain flexible, actively manage positions and risk exposures, adjust allocations in stages around key policy windows, and employ hedging strategies when necessary.
