TechFlow news, on January 3, Fidelity stated in its "2026 Crypto Market Outlook" that investors seeking short-term gains should exercise caution when considering entering the market, but for those focused on long-term holdings, it may still not be too late. Chris Kuiper, Vice President of Research at Fidelity Digital Assets, noted: "Fidelity Digital Assets believes that, based on game theory principles, more countries may purchase Bitcoin in the future. If more countries include Bitcoin in their foreign exchange reserves, other nations may face increasing pressure to follow suit, as they could perceive competitive pressure. From a simple supply and demand economics perspective, any additional demand for Bitcoin could drive up prices. However, the key lies in the scale of incremental demand and whether other investors are selling or holding." Corporate purchases of crypto assets increase market demand and help boost asset prices. Kuiper cautioned: "If these companies choose or are forced to sell some of their digital assets, such as when a bear market arrives, this could certainly exert downward pressure on Bitcoin or other digital asset prices." Kuiper believes that the four-year cycle has not completely disappeared, as the emotions of fear and greed that drive the cycle have not dissipated. The current price decline could be the start of a new bear market or merely a correction within a bull market. Whether predictions about the cycle will come true remains to be seen, and a clear answer may not emerge until later in 2026.
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