Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs lower U.S. economic growth forecasts
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Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs lower U.S. economic growth forecasts
According to Jinshi, Morgan Stanley forecasts that U.S. GDP growth will decline due to the negative impact of tariffs and a tight labor market pushing inflation higher. It has cut its U.S. GDP growth forecast for 2025 from 1.9% to 1.5%, and for 2026 from 1.3% to 1.2%. Morgan Stanley expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by only 25 basis points in June 2025, followed by two additional rate cuts starting in 2026—later than market expectations. Goldman Sachs has lowered its U.S. GDP growth forecast for 2025 from 2.2% to 1.7%, and also downgraded the outlook for a U.S. economic recession.
Navigating Web3 tides with focused insightsTechFlow news, on March 10, according to Jinshi reports, Morgan Stanley forecast that due to the negative impact of tariffs and tight labor markets driving up inflation, U.S. GDP growth will slow, cutting its 2025 GDP growth forecast from a previous 1.9% to 1.5%, and reducing its 2026 forecast from 1.3% to 1.2%. Morgan Stanley expects the Federal Reserve will only cut interest rates by 25 basis points in June 2025, followed by two additional rate cuts starting in 2026—later than market expectations.
Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs lowered its U.S. 2025 GDP growth forecast from 2.2% to 1.7% and raised the probability of a U.S. recession from 15% to 20%.
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