TechFlow news, on February 18, according to Jinshi News, the latest research from JPMorgan shows that Trump has significantly reduced his market-sensitive social media posts during this term compared to his first term. The study found that among 126 posts addressing sensitive topics such as trade tariffs, foreign relations, and the economy, only 10% triggered noticeable currency market volatility, with tariff-related content having the greatest impact—about one-third of these posts caused market fluctuations. The most notable case occurred in early February when his post announcing 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada led to respective declines of over 2% and 1% in the two countries' currencies.
JPMorgan analysts noted that although the number of Trump's market-sensitive posts rose last week to more than 20, double the January average, it remains far below the peak of around 60 per week seen during the 2018–19 trade tensions. Through backtesting, the research team found that trading strategies based on post content—such as trading USD against G10 high-beta or affected currencies—would generate estimated returns of no more than 4% within 5 to 180 minutes after a post, advising investors to exercise caution when following such trades.
Currently, Trump has shifted toward more direct communication from the White House Oval Office, holding daily question-and-answer sessions with journalists.
