Bitcoin's historical returns in October: Since 2013, it has closed up 10 times and down 3 times, with an average return of 18.52%.

TechFlow reports that on Oct 1, data from Coinglass indicates Bitcoin’s September 2026 return rate reached 6.33%, recording the second-highest September return rate in history to date, trailing only the 7.29% monthly return set in October 2024. Ethereum’s September 2026 return rate hit 8.77%, also marking the second-highest September return rate in history to date, behind the 14.53% monthly return recorded in September 2016.

Looking ahead to October, among Bitcoin's 13 “October” market movements since 2013, 10 closed higher and 3 lower. The largest surge occurred in October 2013, when the monthly gain reached 60.79%; the steepest decline happened in October 2014, with a monthly drop of 12.95%. From 2013 to the present, Bitcoin’s “October” average return rate stands at 18.52%. The median return rate is 12.73%, reflecting generally solid performance.

Among Ethereum's 10 “October” market movements since 2016, 6 closed higher and 4 lower. The largest increase occurred in October 2021, reaching a monthly gain of 42.92%; the sharpest decline happened in October 2016, with a monthly drop of 16.83%. Since 2016, Ethereum’s “October” average return rate is 3.29%, with a median return rate of 0.36%.